Heavy-Note
0x32d0725ce8775587a37896e588e5d3e8676b2418
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
1000 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$1.0K
$280.00
- NO
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$999.99
$419.99
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025?
500 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$500.00
$55.00
- YES
Price of dozen eggs hits $5 before April?
300 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2025$300.00
$36.00
- NO
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
3500 shares @ 66.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
2000 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-356.00
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
500 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-440.00
- NO
Will David Sacks be a member of the Trump administration?
319 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-249.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$684.00Apr 13, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$36.00Apr 13, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a coin by March 7?$120.00Mar 10, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 500-549 times Feb 28 - March 7?$2.0KMar 10, 05:31 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$0.00Mar 6, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model this year?$400.00Mar 6, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$500.00Mar 6, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Hunter Biden?$1.0KMar 6, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?$1.4KMar 6, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$6.9KMar 6, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$10.2KMar 6, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declassifies UFO files in first 100 days?$2.5KMar 5, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$2.0KMar 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$2.99Mar 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?$4.38Mar 4, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$2.5KMar 4, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$3.81Mar 4, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$114.42Mar 4, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$8.11Mar 4, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$75.18Mar 4, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $841.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 17:43 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 13:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.