Growling-Eggplant
0x32db5e7e76106fd3f91e6e9bc47ef8cccf3b0d39
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
62
Open notional
$14.99
Total PnL
$-127.73
Realised
$-1.72
Win rate
0%
60 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$10.02
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 22?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 1 Panama?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Ghana 3 - 0 Panama?
27 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
13 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 22?$5.00Aug 20, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 21?$10.00Aug 20, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 18?$5.05Aug 18, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 17?$5.05Aug 17, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 18?$5.00Aug 16, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 17?$5.00Aug 16, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 26?$5.07Jul 26, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 26?$5.00Jul 25, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 21?$10.05Jul 22, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 21?$10.00Jul 20, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 16?$30.15Jul 16, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$2.03Jul 14, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 14?$40.25Jul 14, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 16?$30.01Jul 14, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 12?$30.23Jul 13, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 14?$40.01Jul 13, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?$40.16Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on July 12?$30.01Jul 11, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on July 10?$20.26Jul 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 11?$40.01Jul 10, 02:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 60 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
60 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $11.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 08:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 05:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 60 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.