Stingy-Sampan
0x32dd817380dc59c6d8fee801b84b6f7c70ca916b
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in January 2026?
1385 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
1224 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?
619 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 13, 2026?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in January 2026?$11.00Jan 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$10.00Jan 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?$10.00Jan 17, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by March 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$2.68Jan 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.28Jan 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$4.29Jan 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$5.65Jan 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$15.54Jan 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$17.00Jan 17, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$17.98Jan 16, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$40.00Jan 14, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by January 31?$3.00Jan 13, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 13, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 13, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.00Jan 13, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz resign by January 31?$10.00Jan 13, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$4.00Jan 13, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$1.00Jan 13, 01:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $9.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 01:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 17, 22:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.