Virtuous-Sculpting
0x32e6b70a6a3c0389f0c7fe817bd3040c182c87ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$13.89
Total PnL
$-565.23
Realised
$40.64
Win rate
57%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$13.89
$3.89
- NO
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
1655 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Algeria?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
915 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Belgium?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
606 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-10.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
556 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
- YES
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
501 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?$10.00Jul 23, 15:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$98.96Jul 19, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?$10.48Jul 19, 17:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 1 England?$10.46Jul 16, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$10.47Jul 16, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$113.54Jul 16, 07:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.18Jul 15, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?$10.49Jul 15, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.23Jul 15, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?$10.49Jul 15, 14:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?$10.49Jul 14, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?$10.49Jul 14, 09:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $30.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 15:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.