Amazing-Novel
0x32f8f473d69f30fe8fd9ace93173678f62f55a08
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-791.64
Realised
$9.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 2?
877 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-536.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
136 shares @ 21.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-29.78
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 17?
134 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.22
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 10, 3AM ET
100 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-61.80
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
50 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-24.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 20?
47 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-23.52
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET
29 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
14 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 3AM ET
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 19, 11AM ET$20.43Jun 19, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 14, 3AM ET$2.38Feb 14, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - February 14, 2AM ET$2.38Feb 14, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - February 14, 2AM ET$23.49Feb 14, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$0.00Jan 30, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$33.14Jan 30, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 27?$33.14Jan 27, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 27?$23.53Jan 27, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 20?$23.52Jan 19, 18:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$0.00Jan 19, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 17?$100.22Jan 17, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 16?$0.00Jan 16, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 16?$15.00Jan 16, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 15?$115.22Jan 15, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 15?$53.00Jan 14, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 14?$53.01Jan 14, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 14?$34.60Jan 14, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 13?$34.56Jan 14, 10:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.03Jan 14, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 13?$26.96Jan 13, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $26.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.