Frivolous-Feather
0x32fb5fedc5d5f15c3f7c4ef390084874b1ea1ca4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$462.72
Total PnL
$-132.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$113.28
$63.28
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
244 shares @ 41.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$91.46
$-8.54
- YES
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
154 shares @ 32.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$53.09
$3.09
- YES
Australia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
88 shares @ 34.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$29.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
658 shares @ 3.8¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$25.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
81 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$24.60
$-0.40
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$23.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.06
$-7.94
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$20.56
$0.56
- PARAGUAY
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$9.44
$-0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 7+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jul 3, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$25.52Jul 3, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$10.28Jul 3, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. France: Team to Advance$10.27Jul 3, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$20.49Jul 3, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$25.67Jul 3, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$25.72Jul 3, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?$30.59Jul 3, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$101.77Jul 3, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$131.58Jul 3, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$30.75Jun 24, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.93Jun 24, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.01Jun 24, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.02Jun 24, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 24, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jun 24, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 24, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pitbull perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?$10.49Jun 24, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 6+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.27Jun 24, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?$10.27Jun 24, 22:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $26.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 22:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 13:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.