Frivolous-Feather
0x32fb5fedc5d5f15c3f7c4ef390084874b1ea1ca4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
94
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$-92.22
Win rate
0%
94 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 94- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Egypt?
13931 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Egypt?
9464 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 3 Egypt?
6368 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Colombia?
5274 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Morocco?
4672 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
3662 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?
3616 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
3218 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Exact Score: Paraguay 3 - 1 France?
3150 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
2717 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.22Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.16Jul 19, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$26.17Jul 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$26.23Jul 19, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?$26.21Jul 19, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?$26.22Jul 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?$26.23Jul 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$26.24Jul 17, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$104.82Jul 17, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$666.67Jul 12, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$26.16Jul 11, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$506.25Jul 11, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNorway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$26.06Jul 11, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?$208.33Jul 10, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$444.00Jul 10, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$329.37Jul 10, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?$26.10Jul 10, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?$26.10Jul 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium?$26.17Jul 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?$26.22Jul 10, 14:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 94 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
94 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $56.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 15:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 94 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.