Warlike-Justice
0x330278eb937dbe7c6db7ac01346fd9e920ee79c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.50
Total PnL
$107.11
Realised
$830.22
Win rate
100%
94 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.15
$-5.85
- YES
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
644 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.25
$-4.19
- YES
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?
300 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.20
$-1.62
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.90
$-5.10
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
1200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.51
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?
900 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
701 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.01
- YES
US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?
700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?
700 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" this week? (February 8)
651 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$0.05Jul 29, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$0.05Jul 28, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$2.20Jul 28, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$0.50Jul 28, 23:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.47Jul 28, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$0.77Jul 28, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$6.00Jul 28, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$6.00Jul 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$6.00Jul 28, 22:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.20Jul 28, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.40Jul 28, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$3.00Jul 28, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?$1.79Jul 28, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Yemen by July 31?$1.21Jul 28, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$3.00Jul 28, 15:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?$5.83Jul 28, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$1.86Jul 28, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$0.76Jul 28, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?$0.38Jul 28, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$3.00Jul 28, 12:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 94 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
94 closed markets, 100% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 94 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.