0x3304c49311a642b2259fceb701f60d00bb09709d
0x3304c49311a642b2259fceb701f60d00bb09709d
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$13.96
Total PnL
$-2.38
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$2.49
$0.40
- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
7 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.16
$0.07
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
2 shares @ 78.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$2.08
$0.37
- YES
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $92 Week of August 17 2026?
9 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$2.05
$-0.04
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of August 17 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.94
$-0.15
- YES
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.78
$-0.31
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 63.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$-0.85
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 6.8¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.20
$-1.89
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?$2.09Aug 17, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $92 Week of August 17 2026?$2.15Aug 17, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $312 Week of August 17 2026?$2.14Aug 17, 01:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$4.02Aug 16, 10:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?$6.53Aug 15, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of August 10 2026?$0.00Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$0.00Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?$2.70Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York?$2.90Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crazy" during remarks in New York?$2.94Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$5.22Aug 15, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?$1.94Aug 14, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 14?$2.13Aug 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Colombia by December 31?$2.09Aug 13, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?$2.09Aug 13, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in New York?$2.11Aug 13, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$3.37Aug 12, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$9.95Aug 12, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$2.14Aug 12, 18:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $2.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.