Jumbo-Vanity
0x3304e7ee6153d919a0f183cf8220935b05664d82
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$308.10
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$-90.39
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
493 shares @ 71.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$308.10
$-41.90
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
103250 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-103.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?
1723 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-361.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
815 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
763 shares @ 72.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-550.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
737 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
600 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
- NO
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
528 shares @ 45.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-242.28
- YES
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?
444 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-38.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$202.32Jun 1, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$151.74Jun 1, 17:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$48.28Jun 1, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$20.67Jun 1, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$20.67Jun 1, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.00May 18, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$10.70May 18, 00:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$0.00May 18, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$3.21May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$1.07May 18, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$2.00May 18, 00:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.79May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00May 18, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$10.20May 18, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$10.69May 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$2.14May 18, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.05May 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.21May 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.15May 18, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.06May 18, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 17:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".