Keen-Churn-Ruling
0x33071464ee07697992860d1e45d88f4cf00351e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$129.84
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
756 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
490 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
414 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
385 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
367 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
338 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
299 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
265 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-90.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
262 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.05Jul 21, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.22Jul 21, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.22Jul 21, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.22Jul 21, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$26.10Jul 21, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.30Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.29Jul 21, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.28Jul 21, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.28Jul 21, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.27Jul 21, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$10.53Jul 21, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$21.06Jul 21, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$10.60Jul 21, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$111.62Jul 21, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$3.12Jul 21, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$25.80Jul 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.22Jul 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.22Jul 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.22Jul 21, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.22Jul 21, 19:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.