High-Level-Dogwood
0x33113e9c817837a662246bc0e00f31d3f56e917d
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-60.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1554 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
176 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
159 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
58 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$3.00Feb 26, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?$1.00Feb 26, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$15.00Jan 23, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 22, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$23.54Jan 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$19.00Jan 18, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?$1.00Jan 18, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 18, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$5.00Jan 18, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Jan 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 17, 23:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $9.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 23:05 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 23:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.