Meek-Wheel
0x33144dc5409076806c8ef184f1418cd65700c66b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-43.1K
Realised
$-420.70
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$10.00
$1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
10000 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
8742 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
7013 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
5297 shares @ 44.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
5000 shares @ 33.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
4687 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
4365 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
3600 shares @ 33.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
3369 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.60Dec 6, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$2.70Dec 6, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$9.00Dec 2, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.00Nov 17, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$4.96Nov 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$9.79Nov 17, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$36.05Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.17Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$3.60Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$4.50Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$4.50Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.55Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.55Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$7.74Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$13.50Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$7.74Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$13.50Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$3.60Nov 15, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$33.30Nov 15, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$82.75Nov 15, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
61% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $31.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 06:08 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 14:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.