0x3319f92377760eddafb70a291475db70123e977a
0x3319f92377760eddafb70a291475db70123e977a
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$3.69
Total PnL
$-167.46
Realised
$591.41
Win rate
98%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 29?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.05
$0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 28?
13 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.87
$-0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 28?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 29?
16 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.70
$-0.23
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 29?
16 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.21
$-0.76
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on June 27?
20 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.10
$-4.16
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.01
$-0.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 19?
74 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 1?
63 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 3?
56 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 27?$0.11Jun 27, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 27?$0.11Jun 27, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 29?$1.43Jun 27, 08:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 27?$0.22Jun 27, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 27?$0.44Jun 27, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 28?$0.85Jun 27, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 28?$0.50Jun 27, 07:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 27?$0.67Jun 27, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 27?$0.67Jun 27, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?$1.17Jun 27, 06:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 29?$0.28Jun 27, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 29?$0.35Jun 27, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 29?$0.35Jun 27, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 29?$0.97Jun 27, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 29?$0.54Jun 27, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on June 29?$0.94Jun 27, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 28?$1.00Jun 27, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 27?$1.12Jun 27, 05:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 27?$5.05Jun 27, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 27?$0.03Jun 27, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
98% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
64 closed markets, 98% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.