0x331ab85c43da2ab7c71f9678e5886f7328d9d80e
0x331ab85c43da2ab7c71f9678e5886f7328d9d80e
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$103.22
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
44 shares @ 88.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$43.68
$4.91
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
23 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$22.81
$3.65
- VANDERBILT
Vanderbilt vs. Tennessee
18 shares @ 49.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$18.26
$9.27
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
13 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.09
$0.31
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 93.2¢·now 72.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.39
$-1.58
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
42 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.78
- BAYLOR
Houston vs. Baylor
12 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-4.31
- NEW MEXICO STATE
Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- YES
US recession in 2025?
9 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- MICHIGAN
Ohio State vs. Michigan
5 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-0.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.08Feb 11, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$4.60Feb 11, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$4.60Feb 11, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.62Feb 11, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.08Feb 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$5.52Feb 11, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.76Feb 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$2.76Feb 11, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$3.68Feb 11, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$4.95Feb 9, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$4.95Feb 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$4.95Feb 9, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYVanderbilt vs. Tennessee$3.84Nov 29, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYVanderbilt vs. Tennessee$5.00Nov 29, 20:52 UTC
- MERGEVanderbilt vs. Tennessee$36.00Nov 29, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYVanderbilt vs. Tennessee$8.19Nov 29, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYVanderbilt vs. Tennessee$3.20Nov 29, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYVanderbilt vs. Tennessee$7.84Nov 29, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYVanderbilt vs. Tennessee$4.32Nov 29, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYVanderbilt vs. Tennessee$5.28Nov 29, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 29, 18:12 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 21:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.