Open-History
0x331d8ec8d8931b479007f4931a6b25b0b6628846
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.74
Realised
$54.00
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C or higher on July 9?
472 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-15.08
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 11?
328 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 3?
303 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 4?
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on June 28?
193 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 3?
100 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 9?
95 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 8?
92 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-11.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 7?
73 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 1?
10 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.79Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.97Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 11?$0.34Jul 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 11?$1.99Jul 11, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 11?$64.20Jul 11, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 11?$37.28Jul 11, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$1.82Jul 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$1.54Jul 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$1.04Jul 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$2.10Jul 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$1.04Jul 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$0.41Jul 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$1.20Jul 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$5.78Jul 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$6.73Jul 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?$10.49Jul 11, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 11?$0.24Jul 11, 08:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on July 11?$0.57Jul 11, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 11?$0.39Jul 11, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 11?$14.68Jul 11, 08:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $11.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 06:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.