Enormous-Disappointment
0x332eac4a1d1889ff0205ed96e577de188d7d5b52
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-153.34
Realised
$-4.92
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 30-July 6?
526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?
307 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 11, 2026?
253 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 42.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
107 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
44 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
39 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.42
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?
27 shares @ 37.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.37Jul 19, 12:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47.33Jul 16, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$56.19Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$18.45Jul 15, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 12, 04:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$0.00Jul 12, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$10.28Jul 12, 02:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$16.74Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-11?$10.13Jul 10, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$10.12Jul 10, 02:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-07-09?$30.65Jul 9, 22:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $12.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.