Valid-Church
0x33386456a685303828ed2b94ffdc283c7e827624
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$218.07
Total PnL
$-392.55
Realised
$19.87
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
241 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$218.07
$18.07
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?
1000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-44.39
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?
600 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in July 2025?
500 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.18
- NO
Will Gold hit $4000 by December 31?
500 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-218.85
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?
500 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.30
- YES
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?
400 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-71.08
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?
300 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.39
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 0.90–0.94ºC in July 2025?
215 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.54
- YES
Will Johannes Kaiser win between 7% and 10% of votes in the first round?
171 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-8.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$201.36May 9, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$60.00May 9, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President before 2027?$180.00Jan 4, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$90.00Dec 6, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$90.00Nov 21, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$44.39Nov 21, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$11.89Nov 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win less than 7% of votes in the first round?$1.50Nov 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win between 10% and 13% of votes in the first round?$6.58Nov 16, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Johannes Kaiser win between 7% and 10% of votes in the first round?$8.38Nov 16, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$25.10Nov 16, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?$45.98Nov 16, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?$8.00Nov 9, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?$13.20Nov 9, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$40.00Nov 8, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in September 2025?$7.39Nov 1, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in September 2025?$19.10Nov 1, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$56.00Nov 1, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$132.86Oct 31, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$10.14Oct 31, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $37.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 14:41 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 12:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.