Secondary-Armchair
0x33422612fcab1d956d83edc72cb4d2d750520b83
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.39
Realised
$-4.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
7 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" or "Hamas" 7+ times during the Fox News interview on September 18?
6 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the announcers say "Trump" during Patriots vs Bills game? (October 5)
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hamas" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?$0.00Oct 25, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?$0.00Oct 25, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Pick six" during Lions vs Chiefs game? (October 12)$0.00Oct 25, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Pick six" during Lions vs Chiefs game? (October 12)$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Pick six" during Lions vs Chiefs game? (October 12)$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Poly" or "Poly-" 5+ times during South Park's prediction market episode?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift say "Trump" during Tonight Show on October 6?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during events with Turkish president on September 25?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netanyahu say "Palestine" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Vladimir" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Roof" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Killed Kenny" during South Park's prediction market episode?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be between 3500000 and 3750000?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Autism" during remarks in NC on September 24?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Turkish president on September 25?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in NC on September 24?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 3?$0.00Oct 25, 22:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 3, 05:45 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 22:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.