Which-Lining
0x3344171f23cd25e949ed890d207df4485f6056c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$100.89
Total PnL
$-143.77
Realised
$15.03
Win rate
60%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?
35 shares @ 66.1¢·now 67.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$23.63
$0.47
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 59.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$20.13
$5.38
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 43.5¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.80
$3.10
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 43.9¢·now 70.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$10.53
$3.94
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
10 shares @ 44.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$8.65
$4.25
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
10 shares @ 54.5¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.55
$0.10
- NO
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?
8 shares @ 31.9¢·now 53.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$4.27
$1.73
- YES
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?
70 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$4.18
$-2.08
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.48
$0.53
- YES
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.25
$-2.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?$0.35Aug 15, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?$0.29Aug 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?$1.71Aug 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 70m?$3.00Aug 15, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?$0.59Aug 15, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?$1.12Aug 15, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?$2.90Aug 15, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?$0.89Aug 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?$1.65Aug 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?$3.35Aug 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?$6.70Aug 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?$6.80Aug 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?$3.40Aug 15, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?$9.96Aug 14, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission? AND O/U 4.5 Rounds AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$2.00Aug 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?$1.90Aug 14, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?$2.30Aug 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$4.90Aug 14, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?$0.38Aug 14, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$2.70Aug 13, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 9, 15:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 05:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.