Demanding-Fact
0x3348dc54080601b12df66488c9f32729e829ba6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$136.96
Total PnL
$15.30
Realised
$8.84
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
125 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$125.00
$110.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
12 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.96
$0.96
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
213 shares @ 18.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
90 shares @ 58.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.70
- YES
Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?
40 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-11.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$11.00Feb 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.43Feb 28, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$8.00Feb 28, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$12.00Feb 27, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$3.00Feb 27, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$20.00Feb 18, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$20.00Feb 18, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$19.00Oct 12, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$17.60Oct 11, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$11.54Oct 11, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$10.00Oct 9, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$10.00Jul 17, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$4.00Jul 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$0.94Jul 8, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$8.00Jul 8, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup?$14.00Jul 8, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?$5.60Jul 8, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$13.40Jul 8, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$7.46Jul 8, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup?$6.20Jul 6, 13:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $9.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:33 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 06:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.