Happy-Go-Lucky-Hubcap
0x335cce2e1956f9c20c90e57673a2e74242396e62
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$590.16
Total PnL
$-191.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
2612 shares @ 17.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$326.45
$-140.55
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
2857 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$185.71
$-14.28
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by July 31?
1300 shares @ 7.7¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$78.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
279 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
109 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score AND Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$200.00Jul 4, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$200.00Jul 4, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners AND Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$39.49Jul 4, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$101.39Jul 4, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?$80.00Jul 4, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$857.17Jul 4, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-03?$596.95Jul 3, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by July 31?$100.00Jul 3, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-07-04?$102.45Jul 3, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?$100.00Jul 3, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralia vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Corners AND Spread: Egypt (-1.5) AND Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$99.99Jul 3, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?$467.00Jul 3, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$1.1KJul 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$371.60Jul 3, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$215.10Jul 2, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$214.44Jul 2, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$775.55Jul 2, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$33.70Jun 23, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$100.00Jun 22, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$100.00Jun 22, 13:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $161.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.