0x335cdc548aea62ec25f257b1d13b820e2b32733f
0x335cdc548aea62ec25f257b1d13b820e2b32733f
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$183.47
Total PnL
$-1.21
Realised
$-10.65
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 24?
97 shares @ 39.7¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$39.17
$0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 23?
115 shares @ 21.7¢·now 30.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$34.49
$9.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?
48 shares @ 51.6¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$29.51
$4.74
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?
24 shares @ 63.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$24.31
$8.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?
88 shares @ 9.5¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$11.13
$2.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 24?
37 shares @ 24.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$8.09
$-0.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 23?
24 shares @ 34.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.99
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 23?
32 shares @ 23.2¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.89
$-0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 23?
22 shares @ 28.8¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.17
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 24?
19 shares @ 29.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$5.67
$0.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 23?$0.04Jul 23, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 23?$0.19Jul 23, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?$6.21Jul 23, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$1.69Jul 23, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?$12.63Jul 23, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$1.97Jul 23, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$1.97Jul 23, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 23?$4.76Jul 23, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 23?$3.02Jul 23, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 23?$3.00Jul 23, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$1.19Jul 23, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 23?$0.94Jul 23, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 23?$1.13Jul 23, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 23?$5.00Jul 23, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?$9.40Jul 23, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 24?$9.20Jul 23, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 24?$3.70Jul 23, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 24?$5.80Jul 23, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?$3.09Jul 23, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?$3.29Jul 23, 03:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 04:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.