Polite-Buzzard
0x33638825912578c85129af879e43129d85c134fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$78.26
Total PnL
$14.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
20 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$19.51
$11.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10?
15 shares @ 32.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$15.43
$10.43
- YES
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?
15 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.09
$7.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?
8 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$7.94
$2.94
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2800 in June?
7 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$6.58
$1.58
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$5.41
$3.41
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
5 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$5.14
$0.14
- YES
Bitcoin above $103,000 on June 13?
3 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$3.16
$0.16
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
17 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 13?$1.00Jun 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 13?$3.00Jun 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in June?$3.00Jun 10, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3200 in June?$1.00Jun 10, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in June?$1.00Jun 10, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2600 on June 13?$1.00Jun 10, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$9.99Jun 10, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.00Jun 10, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?$2.00Jun 10, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$5.00Jun 10, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?$8.00Jun 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on June 13?$3.00Jun 10, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$8.00Jun 10, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3000 in June?$1.00Jun 10, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2800 in June?$5.00Jun 10, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be greater than $2700 on June 10?$5.00Jun 10, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?$5.00Jun 10, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $115K in June?$10.00Jun 10, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $115k in May?$0.00Jun 10, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.00Jun 10, 06:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $6.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".