Loyal-Heavy
0x33664228c6cb1625b1b2eeecb1882683d10a339c
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$9.04
Total PnL
$-1.85
Realised
$-0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?
3 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 22?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.26
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 22?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$2.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 23?
104 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.73
$-0.27
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 23?
208 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.52
$-0.48
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 23?
248 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on June 23?
66 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.10
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on June 23?$0.34Jun 22, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on June 23?$1.05Jun 22, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 23?$1.05Jun 22, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 23?$1.93Jun 22, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on June 23?$1.05Jun 22, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 23?$1.05Jun 22, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 23?$2.04Jun 22, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 21?$2.57Jun 22, 08:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 21?$2.03Jun 22, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 21?$1.99Jun 21, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 22?$2.25Jun 21, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on June 22?$3.00Jun 21, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 22?$2.00Jun 21, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 21?$2.00Jun 21, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?$1.59Jun 20, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 20?$3.60Jun 20, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 20?$2.02Jun 20, 19:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 20?$2.02Jun 20, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 20?$2.02Jun 20, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 20?$1.57Jun 20, 12:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 14:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.