Scared-Molar
0x336cfa73c2c2bd45135f2801f6781e1f90c330b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$3.89
Total PnL
$-2.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$2.20
$0.20
- YES
Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 5?$2.00Jan 5, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$1.02Jan 5, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?$1.14Jan 5, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.14Jan 5, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?$1.45Jan 5, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$2.13Jan 5, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?$1.00Nov 10, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?$1.00Nov 10, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$1.00Nov 10, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?$1.00Nov 10, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?$1.00Nov 10, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?$1.00Nov 10, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMAl-Selwady vs. Camilo$0.98Nov 10, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.06Nov 10, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$1.45Nov 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$980.11Oct 28, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$981.10Oct 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$981.10Oct 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$982.09Oct 28, 14:00 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?$982.08Oct 28, 13:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $340.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 02:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 5, 15:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".