Merry-Effective
0x337979ff215365668cf5ef3b5cedaee9ccd98e24
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-127.07
Realised
$0.83
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
523 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- TEXAS A&M AGGIES
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars
111 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-19.95
- TCU HORNED FROGS
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- VMI KEYDETS
VMI Keydets vs. Wofford Terriers
67 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- JACKSONVILLE DOLPHINS
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
60 shares @ 24.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- WASHINGTON HUSKIES
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Washington Huskies
28 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.60
- MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- TEXAS A&M AGGIES
Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.96
Recent activity
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Hornets$0.00Mar 31, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?$0.75Mar 31, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMIllinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers$0.00Mar 31, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMIllinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers$23.92Mar 31, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on March 31?$1.00Mar 31, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers$1.00Mar 25, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers$1.00Mar 25, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers$1.00Mar 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers$1.00Mar 25, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers$1.00Mar 25, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIllinois State Redbirds vs. Dayton Flyers$1.00Mar 25, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils$10.00Mar 21, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)$10.00Mar 21, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMOle Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns$31.31Mar 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars$20.00Mar 21, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 11, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYOle Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns$0.45Mar 10, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOle Miss Rebels vs. Texas Longhorns$9.60Mar 10, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Richmond Spiders$12.40Mar 10, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 22:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 31, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".