Assured-Masterpiece
0x337b1656fc5e965b628fe6f2d2c196d6c391c728
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.95
Total PnL
$-8.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?
3 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.03
$1.03
- YES
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.86
$1.86
- YES
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
3 shares @ 72.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$2.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.31
$-0.69
- YES
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TIGERS
Tigers vs. Mariners
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BULLS
Nets vs. Bulls
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- RAVENS
Bengals vs. Ravens
3 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- PISTONS
Pistons vs. Bucks
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?$2.00Jan 7, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$1.00Jan 7, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$1.28Jan 7, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMPelicans vs. Cavaliers$3.85Jan 7, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Cavaliers$3.00Dec 23, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMOver $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$2.56Dec 23, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?$3.24Dec 23, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$2.00Dec 16, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?$1.00Dec 16, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$2.00Dec 16, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.45Dec 16, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMCowboys vs. Lions$1.67Dec 16, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Bucks$1.00Dec 3, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. Bulls$2.00Dec 3, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Lions$1.00Dec 3, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.12Dec 3, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengals vs. Ravens$2.00Nov 27, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Eagles$1.00Nov 27, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?$1.14Nov 27, 06:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $10.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 07:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.