Kindly-Bafflement
0x3381717f652d6ff00b70d2a9c0e975d643233491
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 30?
284 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.43
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 29?
281 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 31?
281 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.25
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 December 22-28?
279 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.30
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 22?
279 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-5.57
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on December 19?
277 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-2.77
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on December 21?
276 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-5.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on December 19?
276 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will Solana dip to $120 December 1-7?
274 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.19
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 21?
274 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on December 30?$0.00Apr 13, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,300 on December 8?$0.00Mar 31, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on December 27?$0.00Mar 30, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 27?$1.98Jan 27, 09:43 UTC
- REDEEMMercer Bears vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 162.5$5.28Jan 24, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMercer Bears vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 162.5$0.03Jan 24, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMercer Bears vs. Wofford Terriers: O/U 162.5$2.98Jan 24, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWestern Michigan Broncos vs. Akron Zips$2.80Jan 17, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 17?$1.88Jan 16, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 12?$4.04Jan 12, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 12?$1.84Jan 11, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on January 11?$50.24Jan 11, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 10?$55.32Jan 11, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on January 10?$3.68Jan 10, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 10?$1.84Jan 10, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 10?$1.95Jan 9, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 10?$2.04Jan 9, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 10?$53.33Jan 9, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during NVIDIA keynote?$3.10Jan 4, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of December 29?$2.45Jan 1, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 05:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 11:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.