Jumbo-Advocate
0x3386d9009b772bcd55ec922b0a2894a4052e9257
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.85
Realised
$0.42
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on May 17?
1509 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on May 17?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 13?
188 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on May 17?
111 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on May 18?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 16°C on May 18?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 17?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 18?
27 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 18?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on May 18?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$30.30Jun 24, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$1.03May 29, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$1.04May 29, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.05May 29, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.03May 27, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$1.04May 27, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$1.04May 23, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET$2.06May 23, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$1.70May 23, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$2.08May 23, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.61May 23, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$0.00May 23, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$2.04May 23, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$2.05May 23, 06:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$6.31May 23, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$5.17May 23, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$2.07May 23, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$0.53May 23, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$1.05May 23, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$1.97May 23, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 18:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.