0x3390542d24a05f0745390e7dd2f91488191a51b9
0x3390542d24a05f0745390e7dd2f91488191a51b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$194.02
Total PnL
$19.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
50 shares @ 75.7¢·now 75.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.60
$-0.14
- NO
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
48 shares @ 70.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.42
$2.15
- NO
Will Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?
36 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$32.69
$2.13
- NO
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?
37 shares @ 76.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$32.54
$4.28
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
27 shares @ 34.3¢·now 42.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$11.34
$2.07
- NO
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
9 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$7.68
$-0.14
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
25 shares @ 30.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.69
$-0.88
- YES
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?
20 shares @ 11.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$6.58
$4.42
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 18.1¢·now 31.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$3.82
$1.62
- YES
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?
9 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$3.78
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$37.74Jul 14, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$7.87Jul 14, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?$0.33Jul 14, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$3.81Jul 14, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$1.85Jul 13, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$0.56Jul 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?$2.41Jul 13, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?$33.27Jul 13, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abbas Araghchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$2.29Jul 13, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$3.83Jul 13, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$5.44Jul 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$7.57Jul 13, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by July 31?$28.26Jul 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?$2.20Jul 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Bieber's monthly listeners figure hit 150m by August 31?$30.77Jul 13, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?$3.84Jul 13, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?$1.08Jul 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?$2.16Jul 13, 12:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $9.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 02:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.