Warlike-Gallbladder
0x33a41817b8b9cfd747458bacd816ccbaa6c6f6bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$5.18
Total PnL
$-32.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.18
$-0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?
15700 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-15.70
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?
1800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be greater than 30%?
1733 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 25% and 30%?
1400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 18 and August 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.36May 20, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.39May 19, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.34May 18, 10:53 UTC
- REWARD$0.35May 18, 10:51 UTC
- REWARD$0.37May 18, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$5.18May 8, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?$1.80Sep 12, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?$15.70Jul 31, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval >40% on July 1?$1.00Jul 31, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say “Autopen” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$1.37Jul 31, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say “America / American” 35+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$1.72Jul 31, 22:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran before July?$2.00Jul 31, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next reconciliation bill be passed between August 18 and August 24?$1.00Jul 3, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMMets vs. Pirates$0.00Jul 2, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill xAI have the top AI model on June 30?$0.00Jul 2, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60K in June?$0.00Jul 2, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$1.01Jul 2, 18:28 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Yankees$1.43Jul 2, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Farmer” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$1.00Jun 27, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Autopen” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$1.00Jun 27, 20:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".