Winged-Inventor
0x33afb7db097f9f90d29f75f2e36cbd482ba5fd88
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
2913 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in June?
2760 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
1907 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-729.21
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?
1564 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?
1455 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?
1012 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-115.00
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?
535 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-186.47
- NO
Will Biden finish his term?
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- NO
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?
372 shares @ 67.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?
368 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-40.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$50.00Jul 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?$50.00Jul 24, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$100.00Jul 24, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?$6.47Jul 15, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in June?$20.00Jul 15, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?$40.00Jul 15, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?$115.00Jul 15, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?$250.00Jul 15, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.6% or more in June?$180.00Jul 15, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.5% in June?$15.00Jul 15, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$349.21Nov 15, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days?$40.52Nov 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?$380.00Nov 13, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$45.00Nov 13, 19:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$0.00Nov 13, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden announce resignation by July 31?$50.00Jul 21, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out before the Democratic convention?$206.46Jul 21, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 18, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out before the Democratic convention?$93.56Jul 10, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$20.00Jul 10, 23:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $106.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 23:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 14:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.