0x33b640237d6d1e2d198c04f94a96085f5ea8597b
0x33b640237d6d1e2d198c04f94a96085f5ea8597b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$2.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?
33333 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-66.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C or below on March 12?
9524 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 15?
6310 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-132.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on March 11?
6050 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.04
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 11?
6000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 15?
4298 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-128.93
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1389 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-27.68
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?
1200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
1190 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-49.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 12?
877 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-24.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$19.62Mar 19, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.04Mar 19, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$2.00Mar 19, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$1.11Mar 19, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.01Mar 19, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$23.08Mar 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.00Mar 19, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.04Mar 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.08Mar 19, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.02Mar 19, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.04Mar 19, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.01Mar 19, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.01Mar 19, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.20Mar 19, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$4.93Mar 19, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.12Mar 19, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$0.20Mar 19, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 19?$15.16Mar 19, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?$0.31Mar 19, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?$19.51Mar 19, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.