Third-Haircut
0x33c20faf7550ebd2d89fe617d80fe95c67dee0d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.94
Realised
$-3.15
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 5AM ET
4720 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- YES
Ethereum above 1,900 on August 11, 10AM ET?
1030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
- NO
Ethereum above 1,880 on August 11, 10AM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Ethereum above 1,870 on August 11, 10AM ET?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
49 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
43 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Ethereum above 1,850 on August 11, 6AM ET?
30 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Bitcoin above 64,400 on August 11, 6AM ET?
25 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,850 on August 11, 1PM ET?$0.45Aug 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,870 on August 11, 1PM ET?$1.32Aug 11, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 11?$4.05Aug 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above 1,870 on August 11, 12PM ET?$4.99Aug 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 11?$3.65Aug 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,870 on August 11, 12PM ET?$1.00Aug 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above 1,880 on August 11, 11AM ET?$4.99Aug 11, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,900 on August 11, 11AM ET?$0.50Aug 11, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,880 on August 11, 11AM ET?$1.00Aug 11, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,880 on August 11, 10AM ET?$1.07Aug 11, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,870 on August 11, 10AM ET?$1.07Aug 11, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above 1,900 on August 11, 10AM ET?$1.10Aug 11, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$2.42Aug 11, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 9AM ET$3.71Aug 11, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 9AM ET$1.59Aug 11, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$5.47Aug 11, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 9AM ET$4.90Aug 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 6AM ET$2.11Aug 11, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above 64,200 on August 11, 6AM ET?$9.99Aug 11, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 6AM ET$2.29Aug 11, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 07:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 16:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.