Shady-Grouse
0x33c3ae038ee04dc44af919927e6cdc646277379a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
50660 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-777.89
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
10518 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-159.99
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
1813 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.00
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
1486 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
333 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
293 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.63
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
23 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?$33.00Mar 1, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$3.00Feb 28, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$10.00Feb 28, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$11.5KFeb 28, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$7.7KFeb 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$160.00Feb 22, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Feb 21, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$68.00Feb 19, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$100.00Feb 19, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$100.00Feb 19, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$100.00Feb 19, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$200.00Feb 19, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$580.00Feb 19, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?$210.00Feb 19, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$58.00Feb 18, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$1000.00Feb 18, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$915.00Feb 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 18, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$1000.00Feb 18, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$400.00Feb 18, 11:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $874.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 23:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.