0x33d269a72278c86947ee5573fa4f2363104001ed
0x33d269a72278c86947ee5573fa4f2363104001ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-358.25
Realised
$-108.58
Win rate
0%
30 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 57°F or below on February 27?
4200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on February 28?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 73°F or below on February 28?
2857 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-7.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on March 1?
2057 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 2°C or below on March 1?
2057 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 1?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on February 28?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on February 28?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 1?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on February 28?
1200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$31.00Jul 6, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.00Jul 6, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "Ref" or "Referee" 10+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.00Jul 6, 04:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$17.88Jul 6, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Ref" or "Referee" 10+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$4.80Jul 6, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$0.39Jul 6, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$5.64Jul 5, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "What a Save" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$7.60Jul 5, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$14.00Jul 5, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Crossbar" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?$22.63Jul 5, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?$5.00Jul 5, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5.00Jul 5, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - April 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.26Jul 5, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.70Apr 15, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.70Apr 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$1.70Apr 15, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.60Apr 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$0.20Apr 15, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$5.00Apr 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.18Apr 15, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 30 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
30 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 16:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 16:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 30 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.