Wallet digest

Activity score

78/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$1.1K

Total PnL

$62.55

Realised

$-0.20

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 16

NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
466 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$461.57
$228.57
YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
200 shares @ 72.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$200.00
$54.60
NO
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
143 shares @ 92.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025
$143.00
$10.87
YES
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
90 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$89.99
$35.10
YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
80 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025
$80.00
$12.00
NO
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?
43 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$43.00
$3.44
NO
Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?
28 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$28.00
$3.08
NO
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
20 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$20.00
$3.40
NO
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
5 shares @ 77.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$5.00
$1.13
NO
Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$5.00
$0.04

Recent activity

YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.05Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
YIELD$0.05Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.05May 31, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.05May 30, 00:15 UTC
YIELD$0.05May 29, 00:14 UTC
YIELD$0.05May 28, 00:11 UTC
YIELD$0.05May 27, 00:12 UTC
YIELD$0.05May 26, 00:12 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity29 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry19 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 0
Avg trade size: $0.00
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 26, 00:13 UTC
Last active: Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 08:38:01 UTC·src:Polymarket Data