Happy-Go-Lucky-Apron
0x33dbd288e654364bf437712e5cfaaf4cdf727d5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$13.80
Total PnL
$-584.62
Realised
$-17.25
Win rate
0%
193 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Arknights: Endfield win Best Mobile Game at the 2026 Game Awards?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 10, 2026$8.10
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?
20 shares @ 29.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$5.70
$-0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 39°C or higher on August 7?
689 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 7?
573 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 7?
23 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.51
- NO
Will "Tony" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 16?
20 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 19?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 9?
18 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
12 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?$5.80Aug 23, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$5.00Aug 23, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.78Aug 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.88Aug 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.78Aug 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.98Aug 23, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$2.08Aug 23, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 22, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.98Aug 23, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 22, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.68Aug 23, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$6.90Aug 23, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.88Aug 23, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1.78Aug 23, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.00Aug 23, 02:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$5.00Aug 23, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$2.10Aug 23, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$5.15Aug 23, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.68Aug 23, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.98Aug 23, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$1.98Aug 23, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.78Aug 23, 02:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 193 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
193 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 01:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 193 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.