Likely-Tender
0x33f0b9b0e3fb9a4271441dc9d4780ef85a8a433a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$11.1K
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
67052 shares @ 25.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.1K
$-5.9K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
26 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
8 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.99Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.99Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.03Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.10Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.14Jun 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.09Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.05Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.10Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$1.10Jun 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jun 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.14Jun 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.11Jun 19, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.07Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.11Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.13Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.16Jun 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.20Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$1.32Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.42Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.39Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $47.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.