0x33f35422e2005d5eb2978bd7cbed9126315c0dd8
0x33f35422e2005d5eb2978bd7cbed9126315c0dd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$12.00
Total PnL
$-7.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on April 10?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$6.65
$5.65
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 3?
5 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$5.35
$4.60
- NO
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 11?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
7 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.41
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 11?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 9?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 11?$1.00Apr 10, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on April 10?$0.12Apr 9, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on April 10?$0.88Apr 9, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?$0.15Apr 9, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?$0.00Apr 9, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 10?$0.85Apr 9, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 9?$1.00Apr 9, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 3?$0.75Apr 3, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$10.00Feb 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$0.32Feb 21, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?$1.25Feb 21, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$0.09Feb 21, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?$0.23Feb 21, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 21:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 10, 05:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.