Unused-Wording
0x33fbaa905cc6bac96cbc433209ec0dce40d0897c
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$1.09
Total PnL
$-324.08
Realised
$-29.98
Win rate
1%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?
11 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.79
$-0.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?
599 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.30
$-6.82
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16?
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3?
172 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-13.43
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 13?
156 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 9?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?
146 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-7.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 26?
139 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-45.72
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 11?
138 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17?$1.35Aug 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 17-23?$1.33Aug 17, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 17-23?$2.06Aug 17, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$1.07Aug 17, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$3.60Aug 17, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$2.94Aug 17, 06:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$1.44Aug 17, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?$0.00Aug 17, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17?$1.47Aug 17, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$4.42Aug 17, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 17?$10.48Aug 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17?$3.21Aug 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?$1.58Aug 16, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?$0.71Aug 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 August 10-16?$0.85Aug 16, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?$2.32Aug 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16?$2.14Aug 16, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?$8.63Aug 15, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?$3.07Aug 15, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15?$3.90Aug 15, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
74 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 11, 14:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.