0x34042b60a01bd8b050d99f345e1fa17d318bdbca
0x34042b60a01bd8b050d99f345e1fa17d318bdbca
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$152.71
Total PnL
$3.76
Realised
$0.33
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
104 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$104.33
$3.14
- NO
Will Charlie Kirk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
26 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$26.16
$0.18
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
22 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$22.22
$0.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$0.01May 10, 12:39 UTC
- REDEEMXi Jinping out in 2025?$0.03Jan 1, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$18.26Dec 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$36.92Dec 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$46.82Dec 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$22.66Dec 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025?$37.33Dec 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?$3.81Dec 17, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?$5.02Dec 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$47.44Dec 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$21.54Dec 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$9.12Dec 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?$1.84Dec 17, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$1.61Dec 17, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?$2.00Dec 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hottest" while addressing the nation on December 17?$0.89Dec 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?$0.57Dec 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17?$4.34Dec 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% in 2025?$4.59Dec 17, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% in 2025?$3.44Dec 17, 21:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
12/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 65/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 15:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 12:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.