Kindhearted-Programming
0x340521ede4f115b1dc92e887daa8a6320d2d30ed
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$120.36
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
14000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
11051 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-99.46
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?
5963 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-97.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
3750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
3333 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-700.00
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
2778 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during conference with Putin on August 15?
2310 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-98.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5$4.02Jul 19, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 2+ goals$9.80Jul 19, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.27Jul 19, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-09? AND Will United States win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$4.19Jul 6, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.25Jul 6, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-1.5) AND Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$10.98Jun 29, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5$9.76Jun 29, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance$10.22Jun 29, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYParaguay vs. Australia: O/U 3.5 AND Spread: France (-2.5) AND Spread: Spain (-2.5) AND Spread: Belgium (-2.5) AND Spread: Morocco (-1.5) AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$14.38Jun 24, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.87Jun 24, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Uruguay (-1.5) AND Spread: Japan (-1.5) AND Spread: Belgium (-1.5) AND Spread: Spain (-1.5) AND Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$3.09Jun 21, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Panama (-1.5) AND Spread: New Zealand (-1.5) AND Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5) AND Spread: Colombia (-2.5) AND Spread: Austria (-1.5) AND Spread: Tunisia (-1.5) AND Spread: Jordan (-1.5) AND Spread: Senegal (-1.5) AND Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) AND Spread: Ghana (-1.5) AND Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$36.69Jun 21, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.40Jun 21, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Senegal (-1.5) AND Spread: IR Iran (-1.5) AND Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) AND Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$19.50Jun 20, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68.84Jun 20, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cristiano Ronaldo score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.08Jun 20, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5$15.38Jun 20, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.09Jun 20, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.09Jun 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.19Jun 19, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $75.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 16:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.