Creative-Subsidence
0x340b8d8eaf03c0b7aa477ab68e27fd3a2a1af8dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$346.18
Total PnL
$-30.76
Realised
$3.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$127.42
$52.42
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.80
$-0.02
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.80
$-0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.57
$0.16
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$29.54
$0.01
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
30 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.39
$0.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
30 shares @ 98.4¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$28.84
$-0.68
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.57
$-52.42
- NO
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03?
50 shares @ 19.0¢·now 9.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.88
$-4.63
- YES
Will Casey Armitage be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.73
$-3.77
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.