Grandiose-Window
0x340cd0d30d8f11d04cfae211ce25a1f73164f130
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-967.07
Realised
$-64.06
Win rate
60%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
11250 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-33.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on February 4?
3558 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 17?
578 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-65.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 19?
301 shares @ 23.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-70.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 19?
300 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-79.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 19?
205 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-79.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 19?
205 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?
203 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-54.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 19?
203 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-41.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 19?
202 shares @ 36.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-72.72
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$4.24Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?$102.51Jun 24, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?$27.69Jun 24, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?$61.29Jun 24, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$0.60Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$0.58Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$0.97Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$1.84Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$1.74Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$1.77Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$0.88Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$0.87Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$0.85Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$3.66Jun 24, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 24?$13.98Jun 24, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 24?$25.59Jun 24, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$37.97Jun 24, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$17.42Jun 24, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 24?$114.43Jun 24, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$13.40Jun 24, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $23.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 17:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.