Profuse-Offset
0x3412694f72fdf2bce34b007f93ed39bbffdee651
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
177
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-631.04
Realised
$-0.48
Win rate
31%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 177- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?
9 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1130 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
833 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
633 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 28?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on May 15?
203 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
162 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 17?
118 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 28?
113 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$9.91Jul 29, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 29?$2.08Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29?$1.04Jul 29, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on July 28?$1.05Jul 28, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 28?$1.05Jul 28, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 28?$1.05Jul 28, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on July 28?$2.09Jul 28, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?$2.71Jul 27, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 27?$0.41Jul 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?$5.70Jul 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?$3.11Jul 27, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 27?$2.09Jul 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 27?$1.05Jul 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 26?$1.05Jul 26, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 26?$5.16Jul 25, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 26?$5.20Jul 25, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 41°C on July 26?$3.14Jul 25, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?$0.00Jul 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 24?$3.81Jul 24, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 24?$6.45Jul 24, 08:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
31% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.