Vicious-Tale
0x34130f7d648d43bcc79fe7d1a633f2f0df47a359
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-3.8K
Realised
$-0.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 55.0¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$859.00
$-241.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 97.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$490.25
$3.75
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
400 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$363.20
$-16.80
- NO
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
100 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$98.80
$1.90
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?
540 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.51
$-5.67
- YES
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?
6480 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-819.95
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
4838 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
1860 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
820 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-76.16
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
470 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.15Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$174.13Jul 19, 21:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.1KJul 18, 19:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $751.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.