Flashy-Bracelet-Postbox
0x34132322fd8810db50446f7e243afc59bd95afe2
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.14
Total PnL
$-74.08
Realised
$11.32
Win rate
17%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
31 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
30 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
23 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
21 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
20 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
20 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.80
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - August 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
20 shares @ 60.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.08
Recent activity
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Aug 17, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$29.86Aug 17, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$15.52Aug 17, 06:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.23Aug 17, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.66Aug 17, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$4.34Aug 17, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.66Aug 17, 06:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.12Aug 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.16Aug 17, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$5.00Aug 17, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$0.33Aug 17, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$9.10Aug 17, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.08Aug 17, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$9.35Aug 17, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$12.04Aug 17, 06:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.15Aug 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$10.37Aug 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$13.32Aug 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.55Aug 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$11.70Aug 17, 06:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
17% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $7.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.