Fat-Down
0x3414cf70a5509d593d0dae5069b39df9332cab06
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$123.72
Total PnL
$7.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1053 shares @ 1.9¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$67.89
$47.90
- YES
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
23 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$22.99
$2.99
- YES
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
23 shares @ 87.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$22.96
$2.96
- YES
Will Trump deport 200-300k people?
97 shares @ 20.5¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.25
$-10.75
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.38
- YES
Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?
2015 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?
120 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
8 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.