Harmful-Specification
0x342c086bf1a800b568f2bf24130d39057220de11
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$-281.12
Win rate
16%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?
532 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$0.00
$-308.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 11?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 8?
477 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-80.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 24?
461 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-50.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 11?
404 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-15.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30?
394 shares @ 73.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-291.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 21?
375 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-85.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 28?
350 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-18.55
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 6?
304 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-25.78
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 17?
286 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$0.00
$-9.56
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.76Aug 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?$158.88Aug 19, 17:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$7.01Aug 19, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?$7.00Aug 19, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?$136.16Aug 19, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?$0.14Aug 19, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?$4.65Aug 19, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?$93.00Aug 19, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$0.00Aug 19, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$0.64Aug 19, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$1.59Aug 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$2.54Aug 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$0.73Aug 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$0.90Aug 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$0.91Aug 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$0.91Aug 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$0.64Aug 19, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$0.09Aug 18, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 19?$0.05Aug 18, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 18?$201.19Aug 18, 22:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
16% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
64 closed markets, 16% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $23.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 15:34 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.